Welcome to the official Pokémon Forums!

Click here to review our official Rules & Guidelines.
[Pokémon TCG Live] Emergency Maintenance Notice

The Pokémon TCG Live game client is being taken back offline for emergency maintenance to investigate ongoing issues with latency, code redemptions, and matchmaking. Please see the Version 1.25.0 Gameplay Experience Disruptions thread for the latest updates.

Related Announcement: Pokémon TCG Live April Maintenance Issues and Content Schedule Changes.

Hidden Probability Manipulation Targeting Paying Players

As a paying player who has invested in this game, I've meticulously tracked my draws over the past several months. Despite the advertised 1/500 (0.2%) chance for Crown rarity cards, I have now gone approximately 2,400 consecutive attempts without a single Crown card drop after A2.

Comments

  • Werenka1
    Werenka1 Member Posts: 61
    10 Comments First Answer 5 Agrees 5 Likes

    A couple questions…

    1. 2400 packs? or 2400 cards? because thats a huge difference
    2. Is the implication of this post that the game actually punishes you for paying for paying for premium and gold? Because that would be a wild business model…
    3. If your having that bad of luck with premium/paid gold, and based on the title, theres some implication that FTP players are having better odds, why not just stop spending money? I assure you though, the luck is not better on the FTP side of things

    I currently have 2 1crown cards. One is gold pikachu that i got within the first week or two of games launch, the other is gold dialga that i got probably two weeks after STS dropped. I have opened 539 packs, 5 cards per pack, works out to 2695 cards. “Statistically” speaking, i should have ~5 1crown cards. Despite what some people think, 1/500 does not mean you are going to get it within 500 draws. You’re not even guaranteed it within 1,000,000 draws.

  • Blockinlick
    Blockinlick Member Posts: 93
    10 Comments 5 Likes 5 Agrees Name Dropper

    I am F2P since launch, haven't missed a pack. Haven't pulled a single crown rare. They are just that rare.