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Wonder Pick is not 1-in-5 for EX
My sample size is now big enough to demonstrate that I am either the unluckiest wonder picker in the world or picking for EX probabilities are not 1 in 5.
I have wonder picked 726 times. I pick almost exclusively EX, so considering the Bonus Picks and the rare times that I don't pick for EX, at least 600 of those were for EX cards.
I have 118 regular EX cards (As 99% of my picks are for regular ones, not for shinies or full-arts, etc)
I have converted at-most 20 EX cards to trade tokens, so let's just go with 20.
That means that I have gotten a total of 138 EX cards.
I have opened 814 booster packs. The community estimate for EX pullrates has been determined to be 12.5%. 12.5% of 814 is 101.
This means that roughly 101 of my 138 EX cards should be from packs and not picks.
That leaves only 37 EX cards from my 600 Wonder Picks. A 1-in-5 chance with 600 picks should yield 120 EX cards.
I should have over 220 regular EX cards total. 138 is far too short of that with a sample size of 814 packs and 600 picks.
Again, I am either the unluckiest player in the world or PTCGP is lying about pick-rates being 1-in-5, because my rate has been 1-in-16.